Published On: Tue, Feb 12th, 2013

China at the Tipping Point? – Journal


“The consensus is stronger than at any time since the 1989 Tiananmen crisis that the resilience of the authoritarian regime in the People’s Republic of China (PRC) is approaching its limits,” writes Columbia University political scientist Andrew J. Nathanin the January 2013 issue of the Journal of Democracy (JoD). What remains unclear, however, is when the breakthrough moment will come and what will be its trigger.

On the heels of China’s 18th Party Congress, held in November 2012, the Journal of Democracy is publishing a set of eight essays written by specialists from the U.S. and China on the prospects for change in the authoritarian country that is home to the world’s biggest population and second-biggest economy.

Elsewhere in the January issue is a debate between Olivier Roy and Hillel Fradkin on Roy’s July 2012 JoD essay “The Transformation of the Arab World.” Is democracy really becoming “rooted in Arab societies,” as Roy contends, or is there reason to worry that the Arab Spring will bring about changes that are far from benign?

Other notable articles include Michele Dunne and Tarek Radwan’s piece on the continued importance of liberals and liberalism in Egypt; Charles H. Fairbanks, Jr., and Alexi Gugushvili’s analysis of Georgia’s October 2012 parliamentary elections; Jørgen Møller and Svend-Erik Skaaning’s new take on democratic sequencing; and Alina Mungiu-Pippidi’s “Controlling Corruption Through Collective Action,” which puts Tocqueville’s propositions to the quantitative test.


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China at the Tipping Point? – Journal
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